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He has also impressed in Scotland this season with Motherwell currently third in the Premiership. Healy's stock continues to rise following Linfield's impressive run in Europe this summer when they narrowly missed out on reaching the group stages of the Europa League. Here's our main Belfast Live Facebook page. On Twitter, you can follow our account by clicking here. If you're a lover of photos, then check out our Instagram.

Bamma 14 bettingadvice bets to make with a guy on first date

Bamma 14 bettingadvice

Breaking through level 1 People already in the top 15 UFC fighter rankings, who I expect to make a push for the top of the division. I think she would have smashed Moroz, so hopefully they make that matchup again. Ranked at 5 in the official UFC rankings. Big power, impressive wrestling, a really solid gas tank and a good chin. Much, much bigger girls like Pennington, who is a very good clinch fighter and an absolute grinder, who has had her breakout year this year. Joanna has been rocked by people with a LOT less power than Andrade.

Given her good gas tank, I find it hard to envisage JJ not getting smacked around at some point and JJ does not have power to deter the Andrade attacks. I just finished listening to The MMA Hour with Ariel Helwani giving out his end of year awards and predicting his end of year award winners for — Both he and his co-host predicted JJ as female fighter of Misha Cirkunov A bit of a tricky one because it depends who he is matched up against.

This writeup could be written for Corey Anderson. Cirkunov looks like he has a good chin to me. Breaking through level 2 The following fighters are ranked outside the top 15 in their division but I believe will have a good year and stand a good chance of moving into that top Colby Covington and Kamaru Usman These two could be pretty interchangeable in terms of a writeup. I actually think his standup has been pretty decent for a while back as far as the Pyle fight and people started to realise that a bit more in his last fight.

Usman seems more level headed but perhaps a little less of a threat to be a finisher more long term. Again, the opportunity for prop betting the decision is there, particularly for Usman. Justin Scoggins He lost his last fight against Munhoz but the guy is legit and that was a terrible matchup. His main problem is his lack of power but that also opens up opportunities for prop betting — Scoggins by unanimous decision. Kevin Lee Dude is just good at stuff…. Rustam Khabilov ….

However, adding that power is something that has piqued my interest. Newbies Could easily end up top 15 but more likely will just make a decent impression. Less fights and more question marks than the fighters above. Impressive offensive grappling should be enough to pick off a lot of competition in this division.

Justin Ledet Another who could have gone in the breakthrough category. In a weak division we could easily see him zoom into the top 15 in one or two more fights. There are a lot of big lumps at heavyweight so he could get wrestle-humped to a decision loss. Tyson Pedro Very little to go off but what he have seen looked impressive.

A dominant grappler with power. Matthew Lopez At this weight you kinda hit a brick wall in the top fighters but this guy has a good all round game. Shane Burgos a Lando Vanatta-ish style perhaps in his debut from recollection. Nina Ansaroff It will be very interesting to see how she gets on this next event.

Competitive fights against two good fighters in Lima and Kish but ultimately she showed tactical weakness in staying on bottom too long. Link: MMA Handicapper Profile Blog post also includes general discussion of use of bet value analysis tools and when you should bet props in general.

This is a bit of a cathartic post for me after failing to post what I believe was an obvious hedge bet on Michelle Wateson by submission against Paige VanZant. I stated in my writeup that whilst I was picking VanZant, I thought she would be in significant peril early;. You can get Waterson by sub at 8. If you input 8. The point of that tool is to make you bet sensibly, based on the cold hard facts of ROI. The difficult thing is following through. Just 4 events prior to this missed hedge opportunity, I did basically exactly the same hedge under very similar circumstances.

I think the reason I went for the Munhoz hedge was because I viewed Scoggins as having a much lower chance of getting a finish and I also believed Munhoz would be dangerous for the whole fight with that guillotine. On the other hand, I believed and still believe there was a very limited window where Waterson would be dangerous. I frequently put on a cover bet to break even if a perceived risk occurs. In this instance I wish I had put 1 unit on Waterson to win by submission at any time.

As it is I lost 9. However, again, try and use raw numerical facts where possible, not just instinct. Done using the your odds tool. This is a rough approximation of my thoughts based on what I remember entering… Looking at my writeup I was saying a 1. Comparatively, the Under 4. So if my analysis was right, I should really have gone big on the under. My bias prevented that because I hate betting the under. I made the bet value calculator this week specifically because this is something I want to get better at.

I was prompted to write the blog after I saw two good level handicappers saying that betting parlays was a bad idea and that ultimately you end up losing money when compared to just betting the sections of the parlay individually. That seemed counter to my own experience, so I wanted to analyse it properly.

I ran a script that imagined every parlay bet was for 1 unit. For everyone in the database, here are the stats. As you can see, my initial gut instinct appears to be correct. Whilst betting 1 unit on every parlay in our database would have returned the above profit, the actual profit was only In terms of a few more basic stats:. For the top 10 of the MMA handicapper directory. Again, from both of these two sets of stats, you can see that betting parlays is more profitable.

Obviously the better handicappers at the top of the leaderboard have a higher percentage of correct overall parlays and individual picks within those parlays. We can see that when it comes to the entire directory, the larger unit bet parlays are indeed losing money although very, very marginally. That is contributing units of the That bet also goes a little way to highlighting one of the type of bets I personally think are good value; x wins by decision.

However, for me personally, as you can see from the stats above, parlaying things together is still net paying off with higher returns. You can also see that I was inadvertently doing what the above breakdown suggests is a good plan; betting more than you might think is a good idea on these big parlays.

Had I pussed out and only put 0. Especially if you have access to in-play betting, recouping a potential 4 unit loss should be no bother at all. Research a LOT, be generally cautious, but bet the big value relatively big. In terms of poor research and the example above, I added that Over 0.

I watched some tape about a week after making this bet and immediately regretted it. DO NOT rely on gut instinct! Just take things as they go. I wanted to address the issue of whether anyone can be truly unbettable as a fighter, when it comes to MMA. This weekend was a stinker for me as I picked my first incorrect winner as a tipster, to break that unbeaten run and go to Given that Warlley Alves, my new nemesis, is absolutely the better fighter and should rightly have been a heavy favourite; what made this a bad bet?

What made him lose? What can I take forward and not make the same mistake again? So does it make Warlley Alves an unbettable fighter? Well kind of, yeah. What I will be doing going forward is adding a few new attributes to the MMA fighter skills on the fighter profiles.

Here are my ratings for Warlley Alves. That covers training and preparation too because if I can see that was the worst gameplan possible, his corner should be able to too! If you can, keep a log of which camps offer up terrible gameplans. I had a red flag on ATT for a couple of fights, whilst The MMA Lab, home of Brian Barberena, have offered up some superb corner advice in the past and really do appear to know how to gameplan too.

The predictability is the most important new addition. When betting any MMA fighter, you want to feel they are predictable. That goes for both your pick and their opponent. It depends what sort of MMA bettor you are. To back that up, the top 10 handicappers are much more starkly in the favour of betting the over. Overall stats from the entire directory suggest that although riskier, betting under at longer odds is better.

However, looking just at the top guys, betting the over but getting it right nearly all the time is the way to go. They provide excellent in depth analysis for the major fights in the UFC. My word of caution though; they are UFC employees and are therefore obliged to put both sides of the story forward when analysing a fight.

However, since starting handicapping and doing well at it , I have started to take betting on MMA seriously. The most important thing is multi-tabbing. Several bookies offer in play betting on the UFC Unibet, Ladbrokes, Boyles, Bet and probably plenty of others and the lines offered are frequently massively different. Just on UFC , there were 3 fights where I managed to get guaranteed profits as different bookies had a different underdog at the same time.

Also, you can get screwed over if one bookmaker suspends the market and you only get half the bet on in time. Most of the bookies also have a delay of about 8 seconds before your bet is placed and if the odds change, it might ask you to re-confirm, so make sure the bet has actually gone through! That might sound obvious but the key is to get on the bet before everyone else catches on… and to do that, a little knowledge goes a long way, especially on a card full of live dogs.

So going in to UFC I had my eye on several guys as live dogs, should a particular set of circumstances play out, primarily Darren Elkins. Regarding Skelly vs Elkins I wrote. If he wins the first round and the price is anything acceptable, get on it. In this instance the first round was really tight and with Chas being the favourite, money came in on him.

He did indeed take over the fight and won , , Happy days. On the other side of things, in play lets you avoid making value bets that turn out to be bad judgement calls. Guimaraes was another guy I scouted pretty heavily pre-event. Instead, I wanted to see if he could land a takedown and keep Miranda on the mat.

The only place I know which offers the specific props like that is Unibet. It all adds up, if you can be bothered! Going back to straight up fight betting, one other key thing to do is keep an eye on both the Twitter hashtag for the UFC event and at least one play by play writeup.

I personally keep an eye on Sherdog. At the end of each round, have a look at who people think won the round on Twitter and the PBP and if the odds are the wrong way around, get on it. Taleb was an example of that at UFC Combine that with the fact that Taleb was looking better than evenr and Silva has questionable cardio and it was a bit of a no-brainer.

The KO was just a really nice bonus. A lot of that covers when to bet on the dogs but should you bother betting on favourites in play? People come back from adversity all the time. Again, it comes down to a little bit of knowledge. Saggo vs Salas at UFC is a perfect example. Salas ended up taking the fight to the mat, got refersed straight away and that was the cue for a decent sized in play bet on Saggo at around 1.

Finally, the last remaining point is cashing out your bets. Would you bet 1. Time permitting, I send out a mailer about possible in play opportunities for each event to my followers on the main site. Visit my profile to follow me. Happy New Year everyone! As we had a couple of weeks between UFC events, I decided to do an interview with one of our handicappers.

If you are interested in being featured as the next MMA handicapper interview, let me know. First up, we have UFC Moneymaker. Since signing up on Bet MMA, he has a record of:. Bet MMA : What do you do in real life as a job? Bet MMA : How would you describe your handicapping style in general? Bet MMA : So, presumably as a fan, you have a good base knowledge but how much tape watching do you do specifically for picks?

And would you say that tape watching often changes your initial gut instinct pick? I tend to go with my gut for most picks, referring to tape if I am in any doubt. Bet MMA : When the odds are heavily one way and you think the other way, is your prediminant emotion excitement or self-doubt? You always think whether you have missed something obvious.

All decent dogs but should have been favs. Have you done anything differently recently to hit that run? I always get concerned about streaks as regression to the mean is a bitch. Do you look at specific types of fighter that might offer value? By that specifically, I mean that I personally seem to have started picking unbeaten fighters to lose their first fight. Is there a certain category of fighter that you think offers potential value?

Im also keen to look a first timers facing more established fighters. KK was a standout v Markos. Also, previous winners with a poor performance is an auto fade; mikael Lebout for example. Bet MMA : So, you say you do this mostly on instinct. And what ultimately made you go for that pick? I trust his opinion on that. I do watch some non-UFC, bellator is a decent watch but mostly squash matches, as with Rizin. I picked KK because I felt the UFC would be desperate for JJ v KK in Poland at some stage in and their current style is to build fighters we style rather than put them up against the best in the division.

Have you been to any UFCs live? Best fight though? Bet MMA : I can empathise with the uncomfortable thing. The first fight I saw live was a one sided beatdown in a near empty O2 arena. Absolutely despises football and knows I love sport so she picks the lesser evil. Bet MMA : So, back to handicapping, what would you say was your best pick to date? Bet MMA : What made you go for that? Wanna share how much you had on that and what you did with the winnings?

It was part of an article I wrote for Fighters Only. Nobody has ever let me forget it. They ended the Tigers' streak of 36 straight regular-season wins with a thrilling double-overtime triumph on Nov. Book also is dangerous with his legs, as he is third on the team with rushing yards. He also has run for eight TDs, matching the total from his first three campaigns, to place second to Kyren Williams A sophomore, Williams has posted six yard performances while gaining 1, yards on carries this year.

Hunt has analyzed this matchup from all sides and he is leaning over on the total. He also has discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He's only sharing it at SportsLine. So who wins Alabama vs. Notre Dame in the Rose Bowl? And what critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back?

Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Notre Dame vs. Alabama spread you should be all over , all from the expert who is in his last 10 against-the-spread picks involving the Crimson Tide. By Scout Staff. Jan 1, at pm ET 3 min read. Notre Dame spread: Crimson Tide Alabama vs. Notre Dame over-under: Notre Dame vs Alabama odds, expert picks Scout Staff 3 min read. Bama proves traditional defense less important Dennis Dodd 4 min read.

Best average classes of past five years Chip Patterson 7 min read. UCF hires new athletic director from Arkansas St. Ben Kercheval 1 min read. Notre Dame-Florida series set for , seasons Ben Kercheval 1 min read.

2021 NRL PREMIERSHIP BETTING ODDS

Gallagher seems to have concentrated more on marketing than the thing that will actually matter. This one is all about timing I think. Breaking through level 1 People already in the top 15 UFC fighter rankings, who I expect to make a push for the top of the division. I think she would have smashed Moroz, so hopefully they make that matchup again. Ranked at 5 in the official UFC rankings. Big power, impressive wrestling, a really solid gas tank and a good chin.

Much, much bigger girls like Pennington, who is a very good clinch fighter and an absolute grinder, who has had her breakout year this year. Joanna has been rocked by people with a LOT less power than Andrade. Given her good gas tank, I find it hard to envisage JJ not getting smacked around at some point and JJ does not have power to deter the Andrade attacks. I just finished listening to The MMA Hour with Ariel Helwani giving out his end of year awards and predicting his end of year award winners for — Both he and his co-host predicted JJ as female fighter of Misha Cirkunov A bit of a tricky one because it depends who he is matched up against.

This writeup could be written for Corey Anderson. Cirkunov looks like he has a good chin to me. Breaking through level 2 The following fighters are ranked outside the top 15 in their division but I believe will have a good year and stand a good chance of moving into that top Colby Covington and Kamaru Usman These two could be pretty interchangeable in terms of a writeup.

I actually think his standup has been pretty decent for a while back as far as the Pyle fight and people started to realise that a bit more in his last fight. Usman seems more level headed but perhaps a little less of a threat to be a finisher more long term. Again, the opportunity for prop betting the decision is there, particularly for Usman. Justin Scoggins He lost his last fight against Munhoz but the guy is legit and that was a terrible matchup.

His main problem is his lack of power but that also opens up opportunities for prop betting — Scoggins by unanimous decision. Kevin Lee Dude is just good at stuff…. Rustam Khabilov …. However, adding that power is something that has piqued my interest. Newbies Could easily end up top 15 but more likely will just make a decent impression. Less fights and more question marks than the fighters above. Impressive offensive grappling should be enough to pick off a lot of competition in this division.

Justin Ledet Another who could have gone in the breakthrough category. In a weak division we could easily see him zoom into the top 15 in one or two more fights. There are a lot of big lumps at heavyweight so he could get wrestle-humped to a decision loss. Tyson Pedro Very little to go off but what he have seen looked impressive. A dominant grappler with power. Matthew Lopez At this weight you kinda hit a brick wall in the top fighters but this guy has a good all round game. Shane Burgos a Lando Vanatta-ish style perhaps in his debut from recollection.

Nina Ansaroff It will be very interesting to see how she gets on this next event. Competitive fights against two good fighters in Lima and Kish but ultimately she showed tactical weakness in staying on bottom too long. Link: MMA Handicapper Profile Blog post also includes general discussion of use of bet value analysis tools and when you should bet props in general. This is a bit of a cathartic post for me after failing to post what I believe was an obvious hedge bet on Michelle Wateson by submission against Paige VanZant.

I stated in my writeup that whilst I was picking VanZant, I thought she would be in significant peril early;. You can get Waterson by sub at 8. If you input 8. The point of that tool is to make you bet sensibly, based on the cold hard facts of ROI. The difficult thing is following through. Just 4 events prior to this missed hedge opportunity, I did basically exactly the same hedge under very similar circumstances. I think the reason I went for the Munhoz hedge was because I viewed Scoggins as having a much lower chance of getting a finish and I also believed Munhoz would be dangerous for the whole fight with that guillotine.

On the other hand, I believed and still believe there was a very limited window where Waterson would be dangerous. I frequently put on a cover bet to break even if a perceived risk occurs. In this instance I wish I had put 1 unit on Waterson to win by submission at any time. As it is I lost 9. However, again, try and use raw numerical facts where possible, not just instinct.

Done using the your odds tool. This is a rough approximation of my thoughts based on what I remember entering… Looking at my writeup I was saying a 1. Comparatively, the Under 4. So if my analysis was right, I should really have gone big on the under. My bias prevented that because I hate betting the under. I made the bet value calculator this week specifically because this is something I want to get better at.

I was prompted to write the blog after I saw two good level handicappers saying that betting parlays was a bad idea and that ultimately you end up losing money when compared to just betting the sections of the parlay individually. That seemed counter to my own experience, so I wanted to analyse it properly. I ran a script that imagined every parlay bet was for 1 unit. For everyone in the database, here are the stats. As you can see, my initial gut instinct appears to be correct. Whilst betting 1 unit on every parlay in our database would have returned the above profit, the actual profit was only In terms of a few more basic stats:.

For the top 10 of the MMA handicapper directory. Again, from both of these two sets of stats, you can see that betting parlays is more profitable. Obviously the better handicappers at the top of the leaderboard have a higher percentage of correct overall parlays and individual picks within those parlays. We can see that when it comes to the entire directory, the larger unit bet parlays are indeed losing money although very, very marginally. That is contributing units of the That bet also goes a little way to highlighting one of the type of bets I personally think are good value; x wins by decision.

However, for me personally, as you can see from the stats above, parlaying things together is still net paying off with higher returns. You can also see that I was inadvertently doing what the above breakdown suggests is a good plan; betting more than you might think is a good idea on these big parlays.

Had I pussed out and only put 0. Especially if you have access to in-play betting, recouping a potential 4 unit loss should be no bother at all. Research a LOT, be generally cautious, but bet the big value relatively big. In terms of poor research and the example above, I added that Over 0. I watched some tape about a week after making this bet and immediately regretted it. DO NOT rely on gut instinct! Just take things as they go. I wanted to address the issue of whether anyone can be truly unbettable as a fighter, when it comes to MMA.

This weekend was a stinker for me as I picked my first incorrect winner as a tipster, to break that unbeaten run and go to Given that Warlley Alves, my new nemesis, is absolutely the better fighter and should rightly have been a heavy favourite; what made this a bad bet? What made him lose? What can I take forward and not make the same mistake again?

So does it make Warlley Alves an unbettable fighter? Well kind of, yeah. What I will be doing going forward is adding a few new attributes to the MMA fighter skills on the fighter profiles. Here are my ratings for Warlley Alves. That covers training and preparation too because if I can see that was the worst gameplan possible, his corner should be able to too! If you can, keep a log of which camps offer up terrible gameplans. I had a red flag on ATT for a couple of fights, whilst The MMA Lab, home of Brian Barberena, have offered up some superb corner advice in the past and really do appear to know how to gameplan too.

The predictability is the most important new addition. When betting any MMA fighter, you want to feel they are predictable. That goes for both your pick and their opponent. It depends what sort of MMA bettor you are. To back that up, the top 10 handicappers are much more starkly in the favour of betting the over.

Overall stats from the entire directory suggest that although riskier, betting under at longer odds is better. However, looking just at the top guys, betting the over but getting it right nearly all the time is the way to go. They provide excellent in depth analysis for the major fights in the UFC.

My word of caution though; they are UFC employees and are therefore obliged to put both sides of the story forward when analysing a fight. However, since starting handicapping and doing well at it , I have started to take betting on MMA seriously. The most important thing is multi-tabbing. Several bookies offer in play betting on the UFC Unibet, Ladbrokes, Boyles, Bet and probably plenty of others and the lines offered are frequently massively different.

Just on UFC , there were 3 fights where I managed to get guaranteed profits as different bookies had a different underdog at the same time. Also, you can get screwed over if one bookmaker suspends the market and you only get half the bet on in time.

Most of the bookies also have a delay of about 8 seconds before your bet is placed and if the odds change, it might ask you to re-confirm, so make sure the bet has actually gone through! That might sound obvious but the key is to get on the bet before everyone else catches on… and to do that, a little knowledge goes a long way, especially on a card full of live dogs. So going in to UFC I had my eye on several guys as live dogs, should a particular set of circumstances play out, primarily Darren Elkins.

Regarding Skelly vs Elkins I wrote. If he wins the first round and the price is anything acceptable, get on it. In this instance the first round was really tight and with Chas being the favourite, money came in on him. He did indeed take over the fight and won , , Happy days. On the other side of things, in play lets you avoid making value bets that turn out to be bad judgement calls. Guimaraes was another guy I scouted pretty heavily pre-event. Instead, I wanted to see if he could land a takedown and keep Miranda on the mat.

The only place I know which offers the specific props like that is Unibet. It all adds up, if you can be bothered! Going back to straight up fight betting, one other key thing to do is keep an eye on both the Twitter hashtag for the UFC event and at least one play by play writeup.

I personally keep an eye on Sherdog. At the end of each round, have a look at who people think won the round on Twitter and the PBP and if the odds are the wrong way around, get on it. Taleb was an example of that at UFC Combine that with the fact that Taleb was looking better than evenr and Silva has questionable cardio and it was a bit of a no-brainer.

The KO was just a really nice bonus. A lot of that covers when to bet on the dogs but should you bother betting on favourites in play? People come back from adversity all the time. Again, it comes down to a little bit of knowledge. Saggo vs Salas at UFC is a perfect example. Salas ended up taking the fight to the mat, got refersed straight away and that was the cue for a decent sized in play bet on Saggo at around 1. Finally, the last remaining point is cashing out your bets.

Would you bet 1. Time permitting, I send out a mailer about possible in play opportunities for each event to my followers on the main site. Visit my profile to follow me. Happy New Year everyone! As we had a couple of weeks between UFC events, I decided to do an interview with one of our handicappers.

If you are interested in being featured as the next MMA handicapper interview, let me know. First up, we have UFC Moneymaker. Since signing up on Bet MMA, he has a record of:. Bet MMA : What do you do in real life as a job? Bet MMA : How would you describe your handicapping style in general? Bet MMA : So, presumably as a fan, you have a good base knowledge but how much tape watching do you do specifically for picks?

And would you say that tape watching often changes your initial gut instinct pick? I tend to go with my gut for most picks, referring to tape if I am in any doubt. Bet MMA : When the odds are heavily one way and you think the other way, is your prediminant emotion excitement or self-doubt?

You always think whether you have missed something obvious. All decent dogs but should have been favs. Have you done anything differently recently to hit that run? I always get concerned about streaks as regression to the mean is a bitch. Do you look at specific types of fighter that might offer value? By that specifically, I mean that I personally seem to have started picking unbeaten fighters to lose their first fight.

Is there a certain category of fighter that you think offers potential value? Im also keen to look a first timers facing more established fighters. KK was a standout v Markos. Also, previous winners with a poor performance is an auto fade; mikael Lebout for example. Bet MMA : So, you say you do this mostly on instinct. And what ultimately made you go for that pick? I trust his opinion on that. I do watch some non-UFC, bellator is a decent watch but mostly squash matches, as with Rizin.

I picked KK because I felt the UFC would be desperate for JJ v KK in Poland at some stage in and their current style is to build fighters we style rather than put them up against the best in the division. Have you been to any UFCs live? Best fight though? Bet MMA : I can empathise with the uncomfortable thing. The first fight I saw live was a one sided beatdown in a near empty O2 arena.

Absolutely despises football and knows I love sport so she picks the lesser evil. Bet MMA : So, back to handicapping, what would you say was your best pick to date? Bet MMA : What made you go for that? Wanna share how much you had on that and what you did with the winnings? Before making any Notre Dame vs. Alabama picks, check out the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's Emory Hunt. Moreover, Hunt has a keen eye for the Crimson Tide's tendencies.

Anyone who has followed him is way up. Now, Hunt has broken down Alabama vs. Notre Dame. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds from William Hill and betting trends for Notre Dame vs. DeVonta Smith is arguably the best wide receiver in the nation, as he ranks first in both catches 98 and receiving yards 1, and is second in touchdown receptions 17 , yards per game The senior has posted seven yard performances this season and recorded a TD in eight of his 11 games, making multiple scoring catches on six occasions.

Smith is just the fourth wideout to be named a finalist for the Heisman Trophy since Desmond Howard won the award in The redshirt junior leads the nation with a Jones has registered four yard efforts while throwing at least four TD passes six times in his first full season as a starter. The Fighting Irish began the season with 10 consecutive victories before falling to Clemson on Dec. They ended the Tigers' streak of 36 straight regular-season wins with a thrilling double-overtime triumph on Nov.

Book also is dangerous with his legs, as he is third on the team with rushing yards. He also has run for eight TDs, matching the total from his first three campaigns, to place second to Kyren Williams A sophomore, Williams has posted six yard performances while gaining 1, yards on carries this year.

Hunt has analyzed this matchup from all sides and he is leaning over on the total. He also has discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He's only sharing it at SportsLine. So who wins Alabama vs.

GIRL WALKS IN TO BOYS SHOWER ON BET

I was prompted to write the blog after I saw two good level handicappers saying that betting parlays was a bad idea and that ultimately you end up losing money when compared to just betting the sections of the parlay individually. That seemed counter to my own experience, so I wanted to analyse it properly. I ran a script that imagined every parlay bet was for 1 unit. For everyone in the database, here are the stats. As you can see, my initial gut instinct appears to be correct. Whilst betting 1 unit on every parlay in our database would have returned the above profit, the actual profit was only In terms of a few more basic stats:.

For the top 10 of the MMA handicapper directory. Again, from both of these two sets of stats, you can see that betting parlays is more profitable. Obviously the better handicappers at the top of the leaderboard have a higher percentage of correct overall parlays and individual picks within those parlays. We can see that when it comes to the entire directory, the larger unit bet parlays are indeed losing money although very, very marginally.

That is contributing units of the That bet also goes a little way to highlighting one of the type of bets I personally think are good value; x wins by decision. However, for me personally, as you can see from the stats above, parlaying things together is still net paying off with higher returns. You can also see that I was inadvertently doing what the above breakdown suggests is a good plan; betting more than you might think is a good idea on these big parlays.

Had I pussed out and only put 0. Especially if you have access to in-play betting, recouping a potential 4 unit loss should be no bother at all. Research a LOT, be generally cautious, but bet the big value relatively big. In terms of poor research and the example above, I added that Over 0. I watched some tape about a week after making this bet and immediately regretted it. DO NOT rely on gut instinct! Just take things as they go. I wanted to address the issue of whether anyone can be truly unbettable as a fighter, when it comes to MMA.

This weekend was a stinker for me as I picked my first incorrect winner as a tipster, to break that unbeaten run and go to Given that Warlley Alves, my new nemesis, is absolutely the better fighter and should rightly have been a heavy favourite; what made this a bad bet? What made him lose? What can I take forward and not make the same mistake again? So does it make Warlley Alves an unbettable fighter? Well kind of, yeah.

What I will be doing going forward is adding a few new attributes to the MMA fighter skills on the fighter profiles. Here are my ratings for Warlley Alves. That covers training and preparation too because if I can see that was the worst gameplan possible, his corner should be able to too! If you can, keep a log of which camps offer up terrible gameplans.

I had a red flag on ATT for a couple of fights, whilst The MMA Lab, home of Brian Barberena, have offered up some superb corner advice in the past and really do appear to know how to gameplan too. The predictability is the most important new addition. When betting any MMA fighter, you want to feel they are predictable. That goes for both your pick and their opponent.

It depends what sort of MMA bettor you are. To back that up, the top 10 handicappers are much more starkly in the favour of betting the over. Overall stats from the entire directory suggest that although riskier, betting under at longer odds is better. However, looking just at the top guys, betting the over but getting it right nearly all the time is the way to go.

They provide excellent in depth analysis for the major fights in the UFC. My word of caution though; they are UFC employees and are therefore obliged to put both sides of the story forward when analysing a fight. However, since starting handicapping and doing well at it , I have started to take betting on MMA seriously. The most important thing is multi-tabbing. Several bookies offer in play betting on the UFC Unibet, Ladbrokes, Boyles, Bet and probably plenty of others and the lines offered are frequently massively different.

Just on UFC , there were 3 fights where I managed to get guaranteed profits as different bookies had a different underdog at the same time. Also, you can get screwed over if one bookmaker suspends the market and you only get half the bet on in time. Most of the bookies also have a delay of about 8 seconds before your bet is placed and if the odds change, it might ask you to re-confirm, so make sure the bet has actually gone through!

That might sound obvious but the key is to get on the bet before everyone else catches on… and to do that, a little knowledge goes a long way, especially on a card full of live dogs. So going in to UFC I had my eye on several guys as live dogs, should a particular set of circumstances play out, primarily Darren Elkins. Regarding Skelly vs Elkins I wrote.

If he wins the first round and the price is anything acceptable, get on it. In this instance the first round was really tight and with Chas being the favourite, money came in on him. He did indeed take over the fight and won , , Happy days. On the other side of things, in play lets you avoid making value bets that turn out to be bad judgement calls.

Guimaraes was another guy I scouted pretty heavily pre-event. Instead, I wanted to see if he could land a takedown and keep Miranda on the mat. The only place I know which offers the specific props like that is Unibet. It all adds up, if you can be bothered! Going back to straight up fight betting, one other key thing to do is keep an eye on both the Twitter hashtag for the UFC event and at least one play by play writeup.

I personally keep an eye on Sherdog. At the end of each round, have a look at who people think won the round on Twitter and the PBP and if the odds are the wrong way around, get on it. Taleb was an example of that at UFC Combine that with the fact that Taleb was looking better than evenr and Silva has questionable cardio and it was a bit of a no-brainer. The KO was just a really nice bonus. A lot of that covers when to bet on the dogs but should you bother betting on favourites in play?

People come back from adversity all the time. Again, it comes down to a little bit of knowledge. Saggo vs Salas at UFC is a perfect example. Salas ended up taking the fight to the mat, got refersed straight away and that was the cue for a decent sized in play bet on Saggo at around 1. Finally, the last remaining point is cashing out your bets.

Would you bet 1. Time permitting, I send out a mailer about possible in play opportunities for each event to my followers on the main site. Visit my profile to follow me. Happy New Year everyone! As we had a couple of weeks between UFC events, I decided to do an interview with one of our handicappers.

If you are interested in being featured as the next MMA handicapper interview, let me know. First up, we have UFC Moneymaker. Since signing up on Bet MMA, he has a record of:. Bet MMA : What do you do in real life as a job? Bet MMA : How would you describe your handicapping style in general? Bet MMA : So, presumably as a fan, you have a good base knowledge but how much tape watching do you do specifically for picks? And would you say that tape watching often changes your initial gut instinct pick?

I tend to go with my gut for most picks, referring to tape if I am in any doubt. Bet MMA : When the odds are heavily one way and you think the other way, is your prediminant emotion excitement or self-doubt? You always think whether you have missed something obvious. All decent dogs but should have been favs. Have you done anything differently recently to hit that run? I always get concerned about streaks as regression to the mean is a bitch.

Do you look at specific types of fighter that might offer value? By that specifically, I mean that I personally seem to have started picking unbeaten fighters to lose their first fight. Is there a certain category of fighter that you think offers potential value? Im also keen to look a first timers facing more established fighters. KK was a standout v Markos. Also, previous winners with a poor performance is an auto fade; mikael Lebout for example. Bet MMA : So, you say you do this mostly on instinct.

And what ultimately made you go for that pick? I trust his opinion on that. I do watch some non-UFC, bellator is a decent watch but mostly squash matches, as with Rizin. I picked KK because I felt the UFC would be desperate for JJ v KK in Poland at some stage in and their current style is to build fighters we style rather than put them up against the best in the division. Have you been to any UFCs live? Best fight though? Bet MMA : I can empathise with the uncomfortable thing.

The first fight I saw live was a one sided beatdown in a near empty O2 arena. Absolutely despises football and knows I love sport so she picks the lesser evil. Bet MMA : So, back to handicapping, what would you say was your best pick to date? Bet MMA : What made you go for that? Wanna share how much you had on that and what you did with the winnings? It was part of an article I wrote for Fighters Only.

Nobody has ever let me forget it. Bet MMA : argh…. Some I do, but mainly only when the line is really wrong. They did a video story, interviewed a few of the members, gave away some tickets and hosted a hand wrapping competition with Stitch.

I won with a friend of mine, I had to wrap her hands in toilet paper like Stitch showed us with the proper stuff. Bet MMA : Have you met many fighters in real life? Bet MMA : Yeah. They recognise the fan involvement in the sport. He climbed up the side of the bleachers to take a pic with me after a weighins once. Any fighters you particularly look forward to watching? People are conditioned to boxing, MMA by comparison is viewed as barbaric due to violence, even though the skillset is far higher.

The sport needs more mainstream icons. McGregor and Rousey have been great for the public profile of the sport. Others refer to it as oiled up men cuddling on the floor. We need to get some mainstream celebs at the events, people that can be identified with. Bet MMA : I think we need a regular set of events, every couple of months in europe. Terrestrial tv in the uk will also help. It probably needs Sky to buy the rights and put it on Sky Sports News.

Best year was when we had two, London and Manchester. Bet MMA : Yeah, im not sure im too bothered about going live anymore. That was only 7 years ago. Might make the trip to Stockholm for one or something like that and make a holiday of it with some mates. In terms of your own website, how long have you had that set up?

I know you give away your picks for free, so have any of your followers ever sent you any pennies as a thanks for winning them some money? Nobody ever sent me a single penny, I should put up a tip jar. Bet MMA : Any aspirations of making any money out of it all? Bet MMA : Do you have any fighters that you keep going back to bet on again and again? Bet MMA : Yeah, heavyweights are a tricky pospect.

I tend to steer clear. Looking at your stats though, you seem to spread your picks across all weight classes. Mostly lower main card guys. Is that deliberate or just happenstance? Bet MMA : Do you tend to look at stats much? Have the BetMMA stats pages provided any helpful insight? Or, at least I try not too. I will be trying to do an adjusted table at some point to help with that.

Bet MMA : What have we got left to talk about? Bet MMA : What was that event? Bet MMA : Moving on then. What do you think of MMA judging at the moment and does it impact your picks in any way? Bet MMA : Why him in particular? Others are not so lucky. I had some contentious views on the title fight though, not everyone agrees with me. The flurry from Lawler was impressive but it was a final roll of the dice, based on scoring criteria it had to go to Condit.

Lawler lost 4 minutes of R5. If that was R1, they might have had a different view. Bet MMA : I stayed up to watch it live. This magical sixth sense that some people think they have for deciding how damaging a shot is…. Lawler throws massive punches with his teeth showing.

The big question was do you score for a guy who throws less and lands more or a guy who throws more and lands less. Bet MMA : Not sure. I think condit landed more shots than Lawler threw. I personally thought Condit, Ansaroff, Noke and Soto all won.

Bet MMA : Oooh, good guess. Alabama was victorious in the most recent meeting, however, rolling to a win in the BCS National Championship Game. The top-ranked Crimson Tide look to post another important victory over the fourth-ranked Fighting Irish when the schools meet Friday in the Rose Bowl, which is serving as one of this season's College Football Playoff Semifinal Games.

Alabama is in search of its 18th overall national championship and sixth in 12 years as it makes its sixth appearance in the College Football Playoff since the format debuted in the season. Notre Dame has participated just once, losing to Clemson in the semifinals.

The Crimson Tide are point favorites in the latest Alabama vs. Notre Dame odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is Before making any Notre Dame vs. Alabama picks, check out the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's Emory Hunt. Moreover, Hunt has a keen eye for the Crimson Tide's tendencies. Anyone who has followed him is way up. Now, Hunt has broken down Alabama vs.

Notre Dame. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds from William Hill and betting trends for Notre Dame vs. DeVonta Smith is arguably the best wide receiver in the nation, as he ranks first in both catches 98 and receiving yards 1, and is second in touchdown receptions 17 , yards per game The senior has posted seven yard performances this season and recorded a TD in eight of his 11 games, making multiple scoring catches on six occasions.

Smith is just the fourth wideout to be named a finalist for the Heisman Trophy since Desmond Howard won the award in The redshirt junior leads the nation with a Jones has registered four yard efforts while throwing at least four TD passes six times in his first full season as a starter. The Fighting Irish began the season with 10 consecutive victories before falling to Clemson on Dec. They ended the Tigers' streak of 36 straight regular-season wins with a thrilling double-overtime triumph on Nov.

Book also is dangerous with his legs, as he is third on the team with rushing yards.

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BAMMA Tim Wilde vs Jefferson George. BAMMA. BAMMA UFC Fight Night Blaydes vs Lewis FULL card breakdown predictions and betting advice. rolling to a win in the BCS National Championship Game football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's Emory Hunt. Bet easyreturnsbetting.com – MMA Betting Tips, UFC Betting Advice, MMA Betting Stats. Menu If you are interested in being featured as the next MMA handicapper interview, let me know. First up, we have Winning Events: 14 (67%).