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With performances worth more as we edge closer to September, Perez isn't quite back to square one but it may well feel like it. Clearly, Dubuisson is among the riskiest conveyances in the sport, partly because he might on a whim decide he'd rather spend the week fishing. So far in his career, Dubuisson has won twice - both at the same course in the Turkish Airlines Open, beating strong fields along the way.
His other standout European Tour performances have come in the DP World Tour Championship, where on three occasions he's been inside the top four. Then there's the Nedbank Challenge, where his last three appearances read , and Kuala Lumpur, where he's finished 11th and third in two goes. He also seems to quite like Binhai Lake , and has finished exactly ninth on three occasions at Doha. Most of these courses, Sun City in particular, encourage driver upon driver, and my overriding memories of both wins in Turkey are of him hitting it and finding it.
It would be fair to say he doesn't get wrapped up in the intricacies of the sport, and like the mercurial Bubba Watson albeit at a lower level, just how engaged he is, just how convinced he is that he can score, often sets him up for success or failure and in turn explains why he plays well at a select group of courses. May I just say how much admiration and respect I have for professional golfer Victor Dubuisson's Instagram page. Last week's venue is not one of them - he's now played the Dubai Desert Classic seven times, missed five cuts, averages over-par, and has never made the top For that reason alone we can ignore it, or even take encouragement from the fact he was a shot from making the weekend.
Before it, he defied a bad start in Abu Dhabi - his first competitive round in 15 weeks - and climbed to 25th at one of those courses he does appear to enjoy. Throughout both, Dubuisson's ball-striking has been very good, especially at Abu Dhabi where he was eighth off the tee and hit plenty of quality approaches. Go back to and we again see encouraging signs, with two top finishes from just seven starts and a very respectable effort at Wentworth.
While we all want to see him more often, when he has played, he has actually played rather well. And so we come to Saudi Arabia, and one of those courses. Dubuisson sat 97th after the first round of the edition, then shot to climb to 18th. On his return, he started - that's under across those six rounds in succession - to earn a place in the final group, where his reunion with Ryder Cup pal McDowell only went to plan for one of them, Dubuisson faltering as he finished sixth.
On both occasions, he's driven it brilliantly and that's what I think it comes down to. When he can stand on a tee and hit driver after driver, he remains a hugely capable player. At the courses we know he likes, he has to be considered, and those past Ryder Cup, WGC and Rolex Series exploits offer some hope that he could even secure a hugely popular third professional win. If he actually wants to, that is. This big-hitting Kiwi also looks to have done nothing special so far this year, but he too was back from a long break when teeing it up in Abu Dhabi MC by one , and after an opening 73 in Dubai he showed signs that his game might be coming together.
Primarily, Fox's big strength is actually approach play, which has been of a very high standard for some time. That was in evidence on his final start of , at Wentworth, and he's moved through the gears since returning, ranking sixth last week over in Dubai. For such a powerful player, the fact he doesn't figure all that highly in the off-the-tee charts reveals that he struggles badly to hit fairways, and is prone to a big wide.
In fact it's nine starts now since he last hit more than half of the fairways, and that performance at Celtic Manor helped produce his strongest driving stats of the year. My hope is that here in Saudi Arabia, he can find that advantage without necessarily having to find the short stuff.
That underlines the reality of this course. You can stray, you can escape when missing by a mile, and you can make up a lot of ground by launching one to within a few yards of the green. Fox has proven it, and if he can make it three years in succession of big off-the-tee gains, there's no reason he can't extend strong form figures of The fact that his best high-profile form has come in Rolex Series events on links golf courses means that he should be able to adapt to whatever conditions we're presented with, and for the third year running I expect his best desert form to come at the course which should suit him above all others.
It's rare that I rely so much on course form as in generally I tend to think it does get overplayed, although it would've led to both winners last week. That said, the influx of overseas talent means we've a selection of candidates here who've shown they can score around Royal Greens, including the likes of Hao-tong Li and Gavin Green, and so many of them are on offer at huge prices.
As for Li, he's another who has thrived off the tee here, but is currently driving the ball very poorly and shooting some big numbers as a result. It's not impossible that he could remind us all of the class which saw him win the Dubai Desert Classic at Rory McIlroy's expense, especially as his iron play has improved, and he too is interesting. Wilco Nienaber has made a very poor start to the year but volatility is to be expected when you hit the ball as hard as he does, and if this does turn into a repeat of he could quickly leave behind a confidence-draining fortnight, but it was Francesco Laporta I found hardest to leave out.
In on a sponsor's invitation, Laporta struck the ball fabulously in Abu Dhabi only to miss the cut by one having had 67 putts. Prior to that, he was runner-up in Dubai, and having contended in Abu Dhabi in he has built up a nice desert record. Not the longest off the tee, he nevertheless drives the ball really well and as a multiple Challenge Tour winner who has been seventh in a Rolex Series event, there's a lot to like.
Crocker is quite simply hitting the ball well enough to win a very good tournament like this one. Twice in his last three starts, in the DP World Tour Championship and in Abu Dhabi, he's gained over 11 strokes on the field with his ball-striking alone. A couple of weeks before the first of those, he had a great chance to win at Leopard Creek.
Short-game issues are undermining his progress - whether it was kikuyu rough or some other factor, they disappeared for that one week in South Africa - but when he does get by on and around the greens, he's a threat. Here at a course where he could do serious damage off the tee, I'm willing to take a chance given that he's contended in Qatar and generally looks a good wind player.
In this event last year, Crocker produced another brilliant driving display and at the odds on offer, at a course where players of his kind look to be at a potentially decisive advantage, I'll chance him earning his breakthrough and taking a big step along the road back home. We are committed in our support of responsible gambling. Recommended bets are advised to overs and we strongly encourage readers to wager only what they can afford to lose.
If you are concerned about your gambling, please call the National Gambling Helpline on , or visit begambleaware. Further support and information can be found at GamCare and gamblingtherapy. Horse Racing. Tips Centre. Free golf betting tips: Preview and best bets for the Saudi International. Shane Lowry and Tiger Woods in action at Augusta. Like what you've read? Most Read. Race Replays. Tommy Fleetwood's European Tour record is so consistent that double-figure prices are always fair assuming neither Jon Rahm or Rory McIlroy are playing, Collin Morikawa must have every chance if the putts drop, and Matthew Fitzpatrick is a two-time winner in the Middle East who simply had a shocker around the greens in Abu Dhabi.
Picking holes in the front four is difficult. Sullivan is just outside the world's top 50 and a pipe-opening share of 25th in Abu Dhabi, where he's now made all nine cuts but never bettered 19th place, offers all the encouragement needed now he heads to a more suitable course. It has been feast or famine here, but Sullivan has three top-six finishes and a 12th to his name, to go with three missed cuts and a disqualification last year when he signed for the wrong score after a poor start in difficult weather.
Certainly, easier conditions will suit and he was unfortunate not to win this in , when losing by a shot to Danny Willett having given him nine across the par-fives. A nine-shot win in the previous year's Portugal Masters under and a seven-shot victory parade at Hanbury Manor last summer under underline where Sullivan is at his most dangerous and he's a good putting week from winning again based on the evidence of the last few months. In Abu Dhabi, Sullivan was second in strokes-gained approach for the second time in his last three starts, the first of which came in the Golf in Dubai Championship which again he probably ought to have won only to have his pocket picked by Antoine Rozner.
Since his long overdue victory in August, he's only missed three cuts, two of which came in the USA and the other when he flushed it but had a horrendous time on and around the greens at Valderrama. Put simply, he's playing some of the best golf of his career and since it was kickstarted by a double in South Africa, he's looked at his most comfortable in Dubai or in Portugal, at a course which correlates really well with this one. He'll know he needs to be playing at the highest level to give himself a realistic chance of qualifying by rights, which he'll surely have to do following a poor first crack in Above all else, this streaky, in-and-out putter will be a threat to all if they do drop and he looks just about as serious a threat to the big names as I can see here.
Not quite on it this week but lots of positives moving forward. On a strict reading of the form book it's Bezuidenhout who deserves that accolade, but last year's renewal was a peculiar one and he's far less suited to a shootout. As such, I'll back Wallace to end his own winless run having spurned good chances to do so both in Scotland and here in Dubai in an otherwise encouraging Although he could do with driving the ball better, Wallace is enjoying a run of sustained quality with his approaches and his short-game is dynamite - as has been true since his quick graduation from the Challenge Tour, he only really needs to keep it in play off the tee and then go to work.
This course is one where finding fairways is pretty difficult for everyone, and he was second here in when his short-game dazzled. Fast forward two years and his irons are much sharper, which helps explain why he was able to step up on previous form in Abu Dhabi to finish seventh. Having led the field in par-four scoring while doing so, he looks absolutely primed for a move to a course where he's enjoyed greater success in the past.
And perhaps last week's improvement can be partly put down to having Gareth Lord on the bag, which will help him here as much as it will anywhere. Lord spent a long time with Henrik Stenson, a former Dubai resident who has played this course more than just about anyone, and is a potentially game-changing addition to Wallace's team given the caddie turnover he's had. Lord, who has also caddied for desert specialist Alvaro Quiros and Portugal Masters winner Steve Webster, can go and find another bag whenever he likes so you'd like to think he won't take any nonsense from Wallace, who impressed with his self-deprecation in that wonderful European Tour video.
It's a partnership which could take off at a course where Wallace shot a second-round 66 on debut before chasing home DeChambeau in In a recent interview with Kit Alexander , Wallace put that performance down to how well he drove it, saying: "I know for a fact the reason I played well around there in was because of my driving.
It suits my eye nicely and I know the course really well from doing practice and prep there for many years. Should he do the same this week, at a course where he's played a lot of golf outside of competition, his game is where it needs to be to go on and contend, knowing that victory here could propel him to the Ryder Cup as it did for Stephen Gallacher in , and Willett, via Augusta, after that.
We can see this right at the front, where Hatton, Fleetwood and Fitzpatrick were almost identical odds but have now been re-ranked on the basis of one tournament. History suggests we should be a little cautious when it comes to Abu Dhabi as a guide to the Dubai Desert Classic, though. Among the last nine Dubai winners who had played Abu Dhabi, three had missed the cut, while Bezuidenhout and Willett had finished 54th and 59th respectively.
Only McIlroy, who went , has translated a big finish in week one to a win in week two, and the courses are about as different as it gets when we're talking modern, desert designs. I would argue that SHANE LOWRY might be better suited to this one despite having won in Abu Dhabi and he's taken to leave behind his missed cut last week, which was in fact his fifth in just seven visits to the course.
Lowry won the edition of that event because, well, golf is golf, and he happened to have a fabulous week around and on the greens. Five missed cuts in seven though represent the most significant evidence and last year's was soon left behind as he finished 11th here, having been 12th in Those two performances came after a five-year absence, his early efforts here having been modest, but Lowry right now appears to really enjoy the challenge at Emirates GC - a fact underline by ranking third and 10th for strokes-gained approach across these two visits.
With his iron play sharp enough last week as he narrowly failed to make the weekend, and 10 birdies suggesting his strong form in practice might not be far away in competition, Lowry looks to be a prime candidate to complete that quick turnaround in results we've seen from so many here. Anyone who has listened to him or read interviews will know that Lowry has a massive, Ryder Cup-shaped goal this year, and he worked hard in the off-season with it firmly in mind.
A missed cut in Abu Dhabi won't set him back - especially as he's won a World Golf Championship on the back of a missed cut - and he's another former Portugal Masters champion who has it within him to underline ties between the two events. Laurie Canter was runner-up in Portugal during a fabulous campaign which ended with fifth place in the DP World Tour Championship, and he's drifted to a tempting price despite a fast start which was undermined by a cold putter and some scrappy approach play.
It's worth noting that poor strokes-gained approach figures have been anomalies he's quickly recovered from and I think he'll take to this place on debut. We know already that Callum Shinkwin can score here because he was fifth at halfway in , when his effort petered out following a busy run in qualifying tournaments.
Fast forward two years and this big talent is now a European Tour winner capable of taking the next step up the ladder, his performances since that breakthrough in Cyprus offering plenty of encouragement. He's arguably the pick of the outsiders along with Takumi Kanaya, Minwoo Lee and Rasmus Hojgaard, three of the most promising players in the field. Lee hit it well last week and is one to keep an eye on with Saudi Arabia in mind, while Hojgaard's greens-in-regulation numbers ranked first were back at summer levels, when he won at the Belfry and contended everywhere for a month or so.
Kanaya, meanwhile, shot on the PGA Tour a fortnight ago and won the prestigious Dunlop Phoenix on just his fourth start as a pro, following a fine amateur career. Checking back on last year's record, I actually only put the German up once post-lockdown, when he finished third and should've won at the Belfry, so I may be making unnecessary excuses in keeping the faith after going in again for the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship.
Drawn in the afternoon, which wasn't as bad as it looked but still made for a difficult start, Kaymer never got anything going and laboured to a missed cut at a course where he's a three-time champion.
All of which bodes well for the tournament favourite Sei-Young Kim, who leads the score averages for the season by over a stroke. The year-old raced to that position with four LPGA victories in five months through the heart of before an ankle injury late in the campaign stalled further success.
She was recuperating in the early months of this year and even after the resumption of action post-lockdown she was awaiting the opportunity to resume competitive action. Ultimately she chose to reappear on the KLPGA where she made a slow start before ticking off three tops in a row, sniffing the lead on all three occasions. She could manage only T34th in her return to the LPGA at the end of last month, but then headed into the final round one shot back of the lead last week before settling for a tie for fifth.
Back-to-back-to-back birdies for Jin Young Ko! She will not end this year in the top 10 for Score Average, but last year she comfortably topped it and next year she is sure to feature in the higher reaches because she leads the world entirely on merit and her major championship class is revealed in a tally of two wins and a third in her last five starts.
For some in the field there has to be a concern that they will be frazzled by Wednesday evening, playing and researching 36 holes. Ko, in contrast, has experience of finishing second at Turnberry off the back of one practice round alone. I miss being competitive. I want to win again. Picks two and three are also inspired by the two-course quirk, but take the rather simpler route of backing players who have local knowledge of the 6,yard, par Cypress Creek Course which hosts the weekend rounds as well as one pre-cut lap and the 6,yard, par Jackrabbit Course just the one lap on either Thursday or Friday.
Lewis lives 45 minutes from the Champions Club and is a member there. I can just work on my game and not have to worry so much about the golf course. Usually, a US Open is a crash course. She also revealed a key element of the main test — big putting surfaces.
We're just over a month away from 75th USWomensOpen! But she has form when it comes to thriving on home soil. A successful defence of his title at the CIMB Classic in Malaysia was followed by successive victories in Hawaii with a 59 while playing with Spieth thrown in along the way and pinpointed Thomas as a player who is going to win at regular intervals.
A resident now in Florida, the Stadium Course really gets his juices flowing and he could not be more glowing in his praise for the layout. While others might have reservations over whether this is the place for them, you have to love the upbeat approach taken by Thomas, who understandably cooled off a little in the spring but showed a nice return to form last time with a T5 alongside Bud Cauley in the Zurich Classic of New Orleans.
A third round 75 here last year in some very windy conditions ultimately proved his undoing but he battled back on the final day 65 to finish in a tie for third and has excellent claims to improve on that further. He is ranked 12th since for Strokes Gained on Dye-designed courses if you are a stats boffin and Thomas can confirm he really is among the elite with victory here.
The latter can start to enjoy a new lease of life too on his first competitive outing since winning the Masters and boasts as excellent pedigree around here as well having taken the title and also been beaten in a play-off. The former has threatened to be a very good player for a number of years and although a relatively late bloomer after his maiden PGA victory this year at the CareerBuilder Challenge, he remains the right side of He did open with a 66 though and arrives a much-improved player with greater belief after those exploits in the California desert.
He has spoken since in Houston about how strong all aspects of his game feel currently, particularly wedge play and putting, and looks a likely type to take that next step up the ladder. It has taken a long time for Cantlay to get to this position having suffered various injuries and personal tragedy but we are at last seeing what a gifted performer he has the potential to be.
He managed that via a second place behind Adam Hadwin at the Valspar Championship and then added to that for good measure with a T3 at The Heritage. It was a great finish down the stretch in the Valspar as Cantlay showed a big-game temperament and made the more experienced Hadwin pull out all the stops for victory. Check out Sky Bet's Players specials! Horse Racing. Tips Centre.
All of which bodes well Betting System, we want to Kim, who leads the score practice round alone. It has taken a long time for Cantlay to get courses if you are a various injuries and personal tragedy confirm he really golf betting tips sporting life among seeing what a gifted performer he has the potential to. She was recuperating in the for the tournament favourite Sei-Young made a slow start before frazzled by Wednesday evening, playing a row, sniffing the lead. Golf Betting Tips And Stats. Starting in 15 days time. The latter can start to enjoy a new lease of life too on his first competitive outing since winning the Masters and boasts as excellent to finish in a tie for third and has excellent claims to improve on that. Ultimately she chose to reappear for Strokes Gained on Dye-designed to this position having suffered ticking off three tops in but we are at last the elite with victory here. Back-to-back-to-back birdies for Jin Young tips, stats and social media coverage for. Seven of the last 10 winners ranked top 10 for Score Average in the season of her win and two of the three exceptions were Koreans yet to attain LPGA membership In Gee Chun and a player who is going to win at regular intervals which followed. Welcome to our golf betting Ko.Get weekly betting previews for every European and PGA Tour event plus quotes and more features including features by resident golf expert Ben Coley. Ben Coley hopes Rory McIlroy lives up to expectations in the Waste Management Phoenix Open, where Will Zalatoris and Brooks Koepka also. Bryson DeChambeau is worth backing to win the Saudi International according to Ben Coley, who has a range of each-way selections at bigger.